In short, the four scenarios are: 1. Best Case Scenario: A peaceful country… 2. Status Quo: Many uncertainties, selective implementation of R-ARCSS, latent friction among the parties with top leadership …
Read MoreIn short, the four scenarios are: 1. Best Case Scenario: A peaceful country… 2. Status Quo: Many uncertainties, selective implementation of R-ARCSS, latent friction among the parties with top leadership …
Read MorePossible developments of movement and settlement patterns and humanitarian needs in the next six months (January – June 2021) after the redesignation of the Protection of Civilians sites. Download
Read MoreIntroduction Problem statement South Sudan has witnessed intermittent civil war and widespread communal and localised violence since gaining independence in 2011. 7.5 million people, 64% of the population, are in …
Read MoreThe report “Monitoring the Scenarios for South Sudan in 2020: Peace the only thing worth pursuing” updates developments in South Sudan based on a 2016 analysis of five possible scenarios …
Read MoreThis report about possible developments in South Sudan up to 2020 is based on a study by Jaïr van der Lijn of SIPRI, commissioned by PAX. The report presents different …
Read MoreThis paper describes four possible scenarios for the future of Sudan,defined by two key uncertainties: 1) In 2012, will Sudan be united or will the North and South have gone …
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